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According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, South Florida is heavily favored at home, as the Bulls are getting odds of -34 points against Connecticut. The over/under total is currently listed at 69 points. The public betting for this game currently has 54 percent going on Connecticut on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Connecticut hasn’t been able to get on track this season. The Huskies have lost three straight, all by at least 30, to fall to 1-5 on the season. UConn is also 0-3 in the AAC, 0-5-1 against the spread and 3-3 with the over/under total. The Huskies have hit the under in three straight.
Connecticut has one of the worst defenses in the nation, giving up an average of 53.7 points and 658.2 yards per game. They are giving up over 300 yards rushing and passing per game on average. That’s pretty incredible. On offense, UConn is putting up just 20.3 points and 375.2 yards per game. Quarterback David Pindell is doing what he can. He has thrown for 1,122 yards and nine touchdowns with five interceptions while rushing for 467 yards and five scores. Kevin Mensah is adding 407 rushing yards.
South Florida got a scare on the road last week, but pulled out a narrow 25-24 win at Tulsa to stay unbeaten. The Bulls come into this game 6-0 overall, 2-0 in the AAC, 2-4 against the spread and 4-2 with the under.
The Bulls have been putting up a lot of offense in 2018, averaging 35.2 points and 487.3 yards per game thus far. Running back Jordan Cronkrite is leading the offense with 757 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Quarterback Blake Barnett is adding 1,545 passing yards with nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Defensively, USF could be better. The Bulls are giving up an average of 25 points and 402.2 yards per game. The run defense is suspect, allowing 214 yards per contest.
Connecticut has hit the under in six of its last eight conference games and in 12 of its last 17 after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
South Florida has hit the under in five of its last six conference games and in six of its last eight home games.
South Florida can certainly score and I am sure the Bulls will score a lot in this game, but can they score enough? Connecticut hasn’t done much offensively against any team of merit. If the Huskies were to have any success on offense, it’s likely going to have to come on a sustained drive, because they don’t seem capable of big-play offense. That would only take the ball away from USF more and limit the total scoring. With the total close to 70, I just don’t see Connecticut doing enough to help it go over.